Where Chelsea are · updated after every match

The table still has them 10th, 7 points below what the underlying numbers say they've earned. On expected points they sit 6th.

Last match
Sun 24 May · away
1–2
Sunderland

Goals against expected, both sides

Chelsea1 goal
SM 0.81AF 0.89
Sunderland2 goals
0123 xG
AF 1.84SM 1.81
Goals scoredEach model's xG

The models had the opponent creating the better chances, and Chelsea finished inside their band.

Full recap →

Last ten

xG difference per match, coloured by performance not result

created moreconceded moredepth of colour shows the size of the gapmost recent

Chelsea created more than they conceded in 3 of the last 10 matches with a published sheet.

The season, by process→

xG difference per match, with a five-match rolling mean

Season mean
+0.36 per match
Creating moreConceding more
▲▲▲▼▲▲▲▲▼
Creating more that matchConceding more that matchFive-match rolling mean
GW 1 → 38 · bar capped past ±1.45 xG

Chelsea are creating more than they are conceding, by +0.36 xG a match on average.

Premier League

Full table →

Points against expected points

Team
P
Pts
xPts→
Diff
1
Arsenal
38
85
84.1
+0.9
2
Manchester City
38
78
76.9
+1.1
3
Manchester United
38
71
67.8
+3.2
4
Aston Villa
38
65
63.0
+2.0
5
Liverpool
38
60
62.3
−2.3
···6–9 not shown
10
Chelsea
38
52
59.1
−7.1

Nobody in the league is owed more points than Chelsea. 4 sides above them have a worse expected-points total.

Form in the squad

All players →

Last five matches against the five before

Robert Sánchez
GK · −0.64 rating
−0.64
João Pedro
ST · −0.48 rating
−0.48
R. James
RB · +0.46 rating
+0.46
Marc Guiu
ST · +0.45 rating
+0.45
T. Chalobah
CB · −0.44 rating
−0.44

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Chelsea aren't as good as the xG says.
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