Premier League · 21 Apr · Amex Stadium
Chelsea
0–3
Brighton
Recap
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
01
Modelled xG 0.37-2.14 against a 0-3 scoreline.
02
Shots 6-15, in the box 3-13.
03
Pressure Index minutes: CHE 33' · BRI 63' of 96.
What the models saw→
Goals against expected, both sides
Chelsea
0123 xG
SMSportmonks0.62
AFAPI-Football0.37
Brighton
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football2.14
SMSportmonks2.02
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor
Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.
Models that reported put Chelsea in a 0.25 xG band. Inside the noise floor. They agree.
2 of 2 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this
Who had the match→
Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · CHE 33' · BRI 63' of 96
3' Kadioglu
56' Hinshelwood
90' Welbeck
Chelsea
Brighton
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: Chelsea doing moreBelow the line: Brighton doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: Chelsea · outlined: Brighton
Peak Pressure Index at 82'. CHE 33' · BRI 63' of 96
Who made the match→
15 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines
Decisive
Robert SánchezG · 90'
7.2
rating
90
minutes
4
saves
4 saves
Unseen work
Roméo LaviaM · 73'
6.9
rating
73
minutes
1
shot
1 shot
Off the pace
Pedro NetoM · 90'
5.9
rating
90
minutes
90 minutes
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Alejandro Garnacho
45
1 shot, 1 key pass
Alejandro Garnacho
45
1 shot, 1 key pass
Marc Cucurella
90
90 minutes
Marc Cucurella
90
90 minutes
Andrey Santos
0
0 minutes
Andrey Santos
0
0 minutes
Jesse Derry
0
0 minutes
Jesse Derry
0
0 minutes
Brighton
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
90
1 goal, 3 shots, 3 on target
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
90
1 goal, 3 shots, 3 on target
Kaoru Mitoma
82
3 shots, 1 on target, 3 key passes
Kaoru Mitoma
82
3 shots, 1 on target, 3 key passes
Jan Paul van Hecke
90
2 shots, 1 on target
Jan Paul van Hecke
90
2 shots, 1 on target
Danny Welbeck
12
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target
Danny Welbeck
12
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target
Joel Veltman
45
45 minutes
Joel Veltman
45
45 minutes
Carlos Baleba
90
1 key pass
Carlos Baleba
90
1 key pass
Olivier Boscagli
90
90 minutes
Olivier Boscagli
90
90 minutes
Pascal Groß
90
1 shot, 1 on target, 5 key passes
Pascal Groß
90
1 shot, 1 on target, 5 key passes
Maxim De Cuyper
13
1 assist, 1 key pass
Maxim De Cuyper
13
1 assist, 1 key pass
Jack Hinshelwood
89
1 goal, 2 shots, 2 on target
Jack Hinshelwood
89
1 goal, 2 shots, 2 on target
Bart Verbruggen
90
90 minutes
Bart Verbruggen
90
90 minutes
Yankuba Minteh
77
77 minutes
Yankuba Minteh
77
77 minutes
Georginio Rutter
83
1 assist, 1 shot, 2 key passes
Georginio Rutter
83
1 assist, 1 shot, 2 key passes
Mats Wieffer
45
45 minutes
Mats Wieffer
45
45 minutes
Yasin Ayari
8
8 minutes
Yasin Ayari
8
8 minutes
Matt O'Riley
1
1 minutes
Matt O'Riley
1
1 minutes
Jason Steele
0
0 minutes
Jason Steele
0
0 minutes
Igor Júlio
0
0 minutes
Igor Júlio
0
0 minutes
Lewis Dunk
0
0 minutes
Lewis Dunk
0
0 minutes
Charalampos Kostoulas
0
0 minutes
Charalampos Kostoulas
0
0 minutes
Got a take on that one?
I check it against the numbers and show the working.
ConvictionConfident
Coming soon
The take tester is being rebuilt.