Premier League · 14 Mar · Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
0–1
Newcastle
Recap
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
01
Modelled xG 1.39-1.41 against a 0-1 scoreline.
02
Shots 22-7, in the box 10-3.
03
Pressure Index minutes: CHE 68' · NEW 33' of 101.
What the models saw→
Goals against expected, both sides
Chelsea
0123 xG
SMSportmonks1.94
AFAPI-Football1.39
Newcastle
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football1.41
SMSportmonks0.85
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor
Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.
Models that reported put Chelsea in a 0.55 xG band. A normal week's disagreement.
2 of 2 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this
Who had the match→
Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · CHE 68' · NEW 33' of 101
18' Gordon
Chelsea
Newcastle
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: Chelsea doing moreBelow the line: Newcastle doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: Chelsea · outlined: Newcastle
Peak Pressure Index at 83'. CHE 68' · NEW 33' of 101
Who made the match→
14 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines
Decisive
Reece JamesM · 90'
7.7
rating
90
minutes
4
key passes
3 shots, 4 key passes
Unseen work
Enzo FernándezM · 90'
7.3
rating
90
minutes
2
key passes
2 key passes
Off the pace
Liam DelapF · 45'
6.3
rating
45
minutes
3
shots
3 shots, 1 on target
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Alejandro Garnacho
90
2 shots, 1 on target, 3 key passes
Alejandro Garnacho
90
2 shots, 1 on target, 3 key passes
Marc Cucurella
90
4 key passes
Marc Cucurella
90
4 key passes
Andrey Santos
0
0 minutes
Andrey Santos
0
0 minutes
Newcastle
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Anthony Gordon
90
1 goal, 3 shots, 3 on target
Anthony Gordon
90
1 goal, 3 shots, 3 on target
Malick Thiaw
90
1 shot
Malick Thiaw
90
1 shot
Sven Botman
90
90 minutes
Sven Botman
90
90 minutes
Lewis Hall
90
1 key pass
Lewis Hall
90
1 key pass
Jacob Murphy
78
78 minutes
Jacob Murphy
78
78 minutes
Joe Willock
77
1 assist, 1 shot, 1 on target, 2 key passes
Joe Willock
77
1 assist, 1 shot, 1 on target, 2 key passes
Aaron Ramsdale
90
3 saves
Aaron Ramsdale
90
3 saves
Dan Burn
13
13 minutes
Dan Burn
13
13 minutes
Nick Woltemade
67
67 minutes
Nick Woltemade
67
67 minutes
Jacob Ramsey
90
1 shot, 1 on target, 3 key passes
Jacob Ramsey
90
1 shot, 1 on target, 3 key passes
Valentino Livramento
90
1 key pass
Valentino Livramento
90
1 key pass
Joelinton
23
23 minutes
Joelinton
23
23 minutes
Anthony Elanga
12
12 minutes
Anthony Elanga
12
12 minutes
Harvey Barnes
90
1 key pass
Harvey Barnes
90
1 key pass
Nick Pope
0
0 minutes
Nick Pope
0
0 minutes
John Ruddy
0
0 minutes
John Ruddy
0
0 minutes
Alex Murphy
0
0 minutes
Alex Murphy
0
0 minutes
Kieran Trippier
0
0 minutes
Kieran Trippier
0
0 minutes
William Osula
0
0 minutes
William Osula
0
0 minutes
Yoane Wissa
0
0 minutes
Yoane Wissa
0
0 minutes
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