Premier League · 31 Jan · Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
3–2
West Ham
Recap
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
01
Modelled xG 2.70-1.12 against a 3-2 scoreline.
02
Shots 14-11, in the box 11-8.
03
Pressure Index minutes: CHE 69' · WES 37' of 106.
What the models saw→
Goals against expected, both sides
Chelsea
0123 xG
SMSportmonks3.18
AFAPI-Football2.70
West Ham
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football1.12
SMSportmonks1.30
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor
Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.
Models that reported put Chelsea in a 0.48 xG band. A normal week's disagreement.
2 of 2 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this
Who had the match→
Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · CHE 69' · WES 37' of 106
7' Bowen
36' Summerville
57' Pedro
70' Cucurella
90' Fernandez
Chelsea
West Ham
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: Chelsea doing moreBelow the line: West Ham doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: Chelsea · outlined: West Ham
Peak Pressure Index at 77'. CHE 69' · WES 37' of 106
Who made the match→
16 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines
Decisive
Enzo FernándezM · 90'
8.2
rating
90
minutes
1
shot
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target
Unseen work
Moisés CaicedoM · 90'
7.3
rating
90
minutes
2
shots
2 shots, 1 on target
Off the pace
Malo GustoD · 81'
5.9
rating
81
minutes
1
key pass
1 key pass
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Marc Cucurella
45
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Marc Cucurella
45
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Alejandro Garnacho
45
1 key pass
Alejandro Garnacho
45
1 key pass
Andrey Santos
0
0 minutes
Andrey Santos
0
0 minutes
West Ham
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Jarrod Bowen
81
1 goal, 2 shots, 2 on target, 2 key passes
Jarrod Bowen
81
1 goal, 2 shots, 2 on target, 2 key passes
Crysencio Summerville
90
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Crysencio Summerville
90
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
90
2 assists, 2 key passes
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
90
2 assists, 2 key passes
Mateus Fernandes
90
1 shot, 1 on target, 2 key passes
Mateus Fernandes
90
1 shot, 1 on target, 2 key passes
El Hadji Malick Diouf
81
1 key pass
El Hadji Malick Diouf
81
1 key pass
Pablo Felipe
66
1 key pass
Pablo Felipe
66
1 key pass
Konstantinos Mavropanos
90
90 minutes
Konstantinos Mavropanos
90
90 minutes
Alphonse Aréola
90
3 saves
Alphonse Aréola
90
3 saves
Oliver Scarles
9
9 minutes
Oliver Scarles
9
9 minutes
Valentín Castellanos
76
3 shots, 2 on target
Valentín Castellanos
76
3 shots, 2 on target
Adama Traoré
9
9 minutes
Adama Traoré
9
9 minutes
Max Kilman
24
24 minutes
Max Kilman
24
24 minutes
Callum Wilson
14
14 minutes
Callum Wilson
14
14 minutes
Tomáš Souček
90
90 minutes
Tomáš Souček
90
90 minutes
Jean-Clair Todibo
90
1 shot
Jean-Clair Todibo
90
1 shot
Mohamadou Kanté
0
0 minutes
Mohamadou Kanté
0
0 minutes
Mads Hermansen
0
0 minutes
Mads Hermansen
0
0 minutes
Kyle Walker-Peters
0
0 minutes
Kyle Walker-Peters
0
0 minutes
Soungoutou Magassa
0
0 minutes
Soungoutou Magassa
0
0 minutes
Freddie Potts
0
0 minutes
Freddie Potts
0
0 minutes
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