Premier League · 20 Dec · St. James' Park
Chelsea
2–2
Newcastle
Recap
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
01
Modelled xG 1.22-2.31 against a 2-2 scoreline.
02
Shots 13-11, in the box 10-9.
03
Pressure Index minutes: CHE 42' · NEW 53' of 96.
What the models saw→
Goals against expected, both sides
Chelsea
0123 xG
SMSportmonks1.11
AFAPI-Football1.22
Newcastle
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football2.31
SMSportmonks2.16
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor
Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.
Models that reported put Chelsea in a 0.11 xG band. Inside the noise floor. They agree.
2 of 2 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this
Who had the match→
Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · CHE 42' · NEW 53' of 96
4' Woltemade
20' Woltemade
49' James
66' Pedro
Chelsea
Newcastle
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: Chelsea doing moreBelow the line: Newcastle doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: Chelsea · outlined: Newcastle
Peak Pressure Index at 3'. CHE 42' · NEW 53' of 96
Who made the match→
13 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines
Decisive
Reece JamesM · 90'
8.3
rating
90
minutes
1
shot
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target
Unseen work
Robert SánchezG · 90'
7.2
rating
90
minutes
3
saves
1 assist, 1 key pass, 3 saves
Off the pace
Malo GustoD · 54'
5.9
rating
54
minutes
54 minutes
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target, 2 key passes
Andrey Santos
11
1 key pass
Andrey Santos
11
1 key pass
Marc Cucurella
90
90 minutes
Marc Cucurella
90
90 minutes
Alejandro Garnacho
90
4 shots, 1 on target, 2 key passes
Alejandro Garnacho
90
4 shots, 1 on target, 2 key passes
Facundo Buonanotte
0
0 minutes
Facundo Buonanotte
0
0 minutes
Newcastle
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Anthony Gordon
72
1 assist, 2 shots, 2 on target, 2 key passes
Anthony Gordon
72
1 assist, 2 shots, 2 on target, 2 key passes
Nick Woltemade
73
2 goals, 3 shots, 2 on target
Nick Woltemade
73
2 goals, 3 shots, 2 on target
Jacob Murphy
73
3 key passes
Jacob Murphy
73
3 key passes
Bruno Guimarães
90
1 key pass
Bruno Guimarães
90
1 key pass
Sandro Tonali
90
90 minutes
Sandro Tonali
90
90 minutes
Aaron Ramsdale
90
1 key pass, 2 saves
Aaron Ramsdale
90
1 key pass, 2 saves
Harvey Barnes
18
1 shot
Harvey Barnes
18
1 shot
Anthony Elanga
17
1 shot
Anthony Elanga
17
1 shot
Yoane Wissa
17
17 minutes
Yoane Wissa
17
17 minutes
Lewis Hall
90
1 key pass
Lewis Hall
90
1 key pass
Joe Willock
8
8 minutes
Joe Willock
8
8 minutes
Jacob Ramsey
89
89 minutes
Jacob Ramsey
89
89 minutes
Fabian Schär
90
3 shots, 1 on target
Fabian Schär
90
3 shots, 1 on target
Lewis Miley
90
1 shot
Lewis Miley
90
1 shot
Malick Thiaw
90
90 minutes
Malick Thiaw
90
90 minutes
Sean Neave
0
0 minutes
Sean Neave
0
0 minutes
John Ruddy
0
0 minutes
John Ruddy
0
0 minutes
Alex Murphy
0
0 minutes
Alex Murphy
0
0 minutes
Joelinton
0
0 minutes
Joelinton
0
0 minutes
Leo Shahar
0
0 minutes
Leo Shahar
0
0 minutes
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