Premier League · 20 Sept · Old Trafford
Chelsea
1–2
Manchester United
Recap
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
01
Modelled xG 0.43-1.84 against a 1-2 scoreline.
02
Shots 5-11, in the box 4-6.
03
Pressure Index minutes: CHE 44' · MAUN 51' of 95.
What the models saw→
Goals against expected, both sides
Chelsea
0123 xG
SMSportmonks0.48
AFAPI-Football0.43
Manchester United
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football1.84
SMSportmonks1.53
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor
Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.
Models that reported put Chelsea in a 0.05 xG band. Inside the noise floor. They agree.
2 of 2 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this
Who had the match→
Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · CHE 44' · MAUN 51' of 95
14' Fernandes
37' Casemiro
80' Chalobah
Chelsea
Manchester United
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: Chelsea doing moreBelow the line: Manchester United doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: Chelsea · outlined: Manchester United
Peak Pressure Index at 95'. CHE 44' · MAUN 51' of 95
Who made the match→
16 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines
Decisive
Trevoh ChalobahD · 90'
7.9
rating
90
minutes
1
shot
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target
Unseen work
Moisés CaicedoM · 90'
7.0
rating
90
minutes
1
key pass
1 key pass
Off the pace
Marc Cucurella
D · 64'
5.9
rating
64
minutes
1
shot
1 shot
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Andrey Santos
69
69 minutes
Andrey Santos
69
69 minutes
Tyrique George
26
26 minutes
Tyrique George
26
26 minutes
Marc Cucurella
64
1 shot
Marc Cucurella
64
1 shot
Alejandro Garnacho
0
0 minutes
Alejandro Garnacho
0
0 minutes
Manchester United
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Noussair Mazraoui
64
1 key pass
Noussair Mazraoui
64
1 key pass
Patrick Dorgu
90
1 assist, 2 key passes
Patrick Dorgu
90
1 assist, 2 key passes
Bruno Fernandes
87
1 goal, 2 shots, 2 on target, 1 key pass
Bruno Fernandes
87
1 goal, 2 shots, 2 on target, 1 key pass
Matthijs de Ligt
90
1 key pass
Matthijs de Ligt
90
1 key pass
Luke Shaw
90
90 minutes
Luke Shaw
90
90 minutes
Harry Maguire
70
1 assist, 1 shot, 1 key pass
Harry Maguire
70
1 assist, 1 shot, 1 key pass
Manuel Ugarte
45
45 minutes
Manuel Ugarte
45
45 minutes
Matheus Cunha
26
26 minutes
Matheus Cunha
26
26 minutes
Bryan Mbeumo
69
2 shots, 1 on target
Bryan Mbeumo
69
2 shots, 1 on target
Amad Diallo
90
1 shot
Amad Diallo
90
1 shot
Kobbie Mainoo
11
11 minutes
Kobbie Mainoo
11
11 minutes
Benjamin Šeško
45
45 minutes
Benjamin Šeško
45
45 minutes
Casemiro
50
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Casemiro
50
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Leny Yoro
20
20 minutes
Leny Yoro
20
20 minutes
Altay Bayındır
90
90 minutes
Altay Bayındır
90
90 minutes
Mason Mount
21
21 minutes
Mason Mount
21
21 minutes
Senne Lammens
0
0 minutes
Senne Lammens
0
0 minutes
Tyler Fredricson
0
0 minutes
Tyler Fredricson
0
0 minutes
Ayden Heaven
0
0 minutes
Ayden Heaven
0
0 minutes
Joshua Zirkzee
0
0 minutes
Joshua Zirkzee
0
0 minutes
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