Premier League · 4 Jan · Etihad Stadium
Chelsea
1–1
Manchester City
Recap
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
01
Modelled xG 1.85-1.02 against a 1-1 scoreline.
02
Shots 8-14, in the box 8-12.
03
Pressure Index minutes: CHE 27' · MAN 69' of 97.
What the models saw→
Goals against expected, both sides
Chelsea
0123 xG
SMSportmonks2.62
AFAPI-Football1.85
Manchester City
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football1.02
SMSportmonks1.28
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor
Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.
Models that reported put Chelsea in a 0.77 xG band. A wide spread. The models are reading the chances differently.
2 of 2 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this
Who had the match→
Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · CHE 27' · MAN 69' of 97
42' Reijnders
90' Fernandez
Chelsea
Manchester City
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: Chelsea doing moreBelow the line: Manchester City doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: Chelsea · outlined: Manchester City
Peak Pressure Index at 81'. CHE 27' · MAN 69' of 97
Who made the match→
14 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines
Decisive
Enzo FernándezM · 90'
7.6
rating
90
minutes
2
key passes
1 goal, 3 shots, 2 on target, 2 key passes
Unseen work
Filip JørgensenG · 90'
7.2
rating
90
minutes
2
saves
2 saves
Off the pace
Pedro NetoM · 90'
6.0
rating
90
minutes
1
shot
1 shot
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
1 goal, 3 shots, 2 on target, 2 key passes
Andrey Santos
45
45 minutes
Andrey Santos
45
45 minutes
Alejandro Garnacho
0
0 minutes
Alejandro Garnacho
0
0 minutes
Manchester City
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Tijjani Reijnders
70
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target, 2 key passes
Tijjani Reijnders
70
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target, 2 key passes
Rodri
90
4 key passes
Rodri
90
4 key passes
Jérémy Doku
20
20 minutes
Jérémy Doku
20
20 minutes
Joško Gvardiol
51
51 minutes
Joško Gvardiol
51
51 minutes
Gianluigi Donnarumma
90
2 saves
Gianluigi Donnarumma
90
2 saves
Rúben Dias
81
1 shot, 1 on target
Rúben Dias
81
1 shot, 1 on target
Erling Haaland
90
2 shots, 1 on target
Erling Haaland
90
2 shots, 1 on target
Matheus Nunes
90
90 minutes
Matheus Nunes
90
90 minutes
Nico O'Reilly
90
1 shot
Nico O'Reilly
90
1 shot
Abdukodir Khusanov
39
39 minutes
Abdukodir Khusanov
39
39 minutes
Nathan Aké
9
9 minutes
Nathan Aké
9
9 minutes
Rayan Cherki
90
1 shot
Rayan Cherki
90
1 shot
Phil Foden
90
2 shots, 4 key passes
Phil Foden
90
2 shots, 4 key passes
Bernardo Silva
90
1 shot, 2 key passes
Bernardo Silva
90
1 shot, 2 key passes
James Trafford
0
0 minutes
James Trafford
0
0 minutes
Rico Lewis
0
0 minutes
Rico Lewis
0
0 minutes
Stephen Mfuni
0
0 minutes
Stephen Mfuni
0
0 minutes
Divine Mukasa
0
0 minutes
Divine Mukasa
0
0 minutes
Reigan Heskey
0
0 minutes
Reigan Heskey
0
0 minutes
Ryan McAidoo
0
0 minutes
Ryan McAidoo
0
0 minutes
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