Premier League · 4 Oct · Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
2–1
Liverpool
Recap
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
01
Modelled xG 1.00-1.95 against a 2-1 scoreline.
02
Shots 12-12, in the box 6-8.
03
Pressure Index minutes: CHE 60' · LIV 37' of 97.
What the models saw→
Goals against expected, both sides
Chelsea
0123 xG
SMSportmonks0.89
AFAPI-Football1.00
Liverpool
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football1.95
SMSportmonks1.90
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor
Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.
Models that reported put Chelsea in a 0.11 xG band. Inside the noise floor. They agree.
2 of 2 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this
Who had the match→
Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · CHE 60' · LIV 37' of 97
14' Caicedo
63' Gakpo
90' Estevao
Chelsea
Liverpool
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: Chelsea doing moreBelow the line: Liverpool doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: Chelsea · outlined: Liverpool
Peak Pressure Index at 85'. CHE 60' · LIV 37' of 97
Who made the match→
16 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines
Decisive
Marc Cucurella
D · 90'
8.3
rating
90
minutes
3
key passes
1 assist, 3 key passes
Unseen work
Reece JamesD · 90'
7.2
rating
90
minutes
2
key passes
2 key passes
Off the pace
Enzo FernándezM · 90'
6.0
rating
90
minutes
1
key pass
2 shots, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Marc Cucurella
90
1 assist, 3 key passes
Marc Cucurella
90
1 assist, 3 key passes
15
1 goal, 2 shots, 2 on target, 2 key passes
Alejandro Garnacho
75
1 shot
Alejandro Garnacho
75
1 shot
Facundo Buonanotte
0
0 minutes
Facundo Buonanotte
0
0 minutes
Liverpool
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Cody Gakpo
90
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target, 3 key passes
Cody Gakpo
90
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target, 3 key passes
Giorgi Mamardashvili
90
4 saves
Giorgi Mamardashvili
90
4 saves
Ryan Gravenberch
90
1 shot, 1 on target
Ryan Gravenberch
90
1 shot, 1 on target
Dominik Szoboszlai
90
1 shot
Dominik Szoboszlai
90
1 shot
Ibrahima Konaté
56
56 minutes
Ibrahima Konaté
56
56 minutes
Alexis Mac Allister
86
1 key pass
Alexis Mac Allister
86
1 key pass
Wataru Endo
13
13 minutes
Wataru Endo
13
13 minutes
Andrew Robertson
35
35 minutes
Andrew Robertson
35
35 minutes
Virgil van Dijk
90
90 minutes
Virgil van Dijk
90
90 minutes
Hugo Ekitiké
16
16 minutes
Hugo Ekitiké
16
16 minutes
Curtis Jones
34
1 shot
Curtis Jones
34
1 shot
Alexander Isak
74
1 assist, 1 shot, 1 key pass
Alexander Isak
74
1 assist, 1 shot, 1 key pass
Miloš Kerkez
55
55 minutes
Miloš Kerkez
55
55 minutes
Mohamed Salah
90
2 shots, 4 key passes
Mohamed Salah
90
2 shots, 4 key passes
Florian Wirtz
45
1 key pass
Florian Wirtz
45
1 key pass
Conor Bradley
45
45 minutes
Conor Bradley
45
45 minutes
Freddie Woodman
0
0 minutes
Freddie Woodman
0
0 minutes
Joe Gomez
0
0 minutes
Joe Gomez
0
0 minutes
Jeremie Frimpong
0
0 minutes
Jeremie Frimpong
0
0 minutes
Federico Chiesa
0
0 minutes
Federico Chiesa
0
0 minutes
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