Premier League · 10 Feb · Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
2–2
Leeds
Recap
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
01
Modelled xG 3.13-1.44 against a 2-2 scoreline.
02
Shots 19-4, in the box 14-2.
03
Pressure Index minutes: CHE 70' · LEE 29' of 100.
What the models saw→
Goals against expected, both sides
Chelsea
0123 xG
SMSportmonks3.52
AFAPI-Football3.13
Leeds
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football1.44
SMSportmonks1.24
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor
Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.
Models that reported put Chelsea in a 0.39 xG band. A normal week's disagreement.
2 of 2 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this
Who had the match→
Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · CHE 70' · LEE 29' of 100
24' Pedro
58' Palmer
67' Nmecha
73' Okafor
Chelsea
Leeds
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: Chelsea doing moreBelow the line: Leeds doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: Chelsea · outlined: Leeds
Peak Pressure Index at 98'. CHE 70' · LEE 29' of 100
Who made the match→
15 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines
Decisive
Enzo FernándezM · 90'
7.9
rating
90
minutes
5
key passes
2 shots, 1 on target, 5 key passes
Unseen work
Trevoh ChalobahD · 90'
6.9
rating
90
minutes
90 minutes
Off the pace
Josh AcheampongD · 79'
5.9
rating
79
minutes
79 minutes
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
2 shots, 1 on target, 5 key passes
1 goal, 1 assist, 3 shots, 2 on target, 4 key passes
1 goal, 4 shots, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Andrey Santos
79
79 minutes
Andrey Santos
79
79 minutes
Marc Cucurella
45
1 key pass
Marc Cucurella
45
1 key pass
Alejandro Garnacho
0
0 minutes
Alejandro Garnacho
0
0 minutes
Leeds
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
James Justin
90
90 minutes
James Justin
90
90 minutes
Noah Okafor
35
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target
Noah Okafor
35
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target
Lukas Nmecha
82
1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Lukas Nmecha
82
1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Ilia Gruev
90
1 key pass
Ilia Gruev
90
1 key pass
Jayden Bogle
90
90 minutes
Jayden Bogle
90
90 minutes
Ethan Ampadu
90
90 minutes
Ethan Ampadu
90
90 minutes
Daniel James
8
8 minutes
Daniel James
8
8 minutes
Sebastiaan Bornauw
55
55 minutes
Sebastiaan Bornauw
55
55 minutes
Karl Darlow
90
2 saves
Karl Darlow
90
2 saves
Joe Rodon
90
90 minutes
Joe Rodon
90
90 minutes
Brenden Aaronson
89
89 minutes
Brenden Aaronson
89
89 minutes
Jaka Bijol
90
90 minutes
Jaka Bijol
90
90 minutes
Gabriel Gudmundsson
90
90 minutes
Gabriel Gudmundsson
90
90 minutes
Lucas Perri
0
0 minutes
Lucas Perri
0
0 minutes
Sam Byram
0
0 minutes
Sam Byram
0
0 minutes
Ao Tanaka
0
0 minutes
Ao Tanaka
0
0 minutes
Facundo Buonanotte
0
0 minutes
Facundo Buonanotte
0
0 minutes
Wilfried Gnonto
0
0 minutes
Wilfried Gnonto
0
0 minutes
Joël Piroe
0
0 minutes
Joël Piroe
0
0 minutes
Sean Longstaff
1
1 minutes
Sean Longstaff
1
1 minutes
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