Premier League · 3 Dec · Elland Road
Chelsea
1–3
Leeds
Recap
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
01
Modelled xG 0.96-2.79 against a 1-3 scoreline.
02
Shots 14-17, in the box 11-11.
03
Pressure Index minutes: CHE 57' · LEE 37' of 95.

What the models saw→

Goals against expected, both sides

Chelsea
0123 xG
SMSportmonks1.17
AFAPI-Football0.96
Leeds
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football2.79
SMSportmonks2.43
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor

Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.

Models that reported put Chelsea in a 0.21 xG band. Inside the noise floor. They agree.

2 of 2 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this

Who had the match→

Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · CHE 57' · LEE 37' of 95

6' Bijol
43' Tanaka
50' Neto
72' Calvert-Lewin
Chelsea
Leeds
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: Chelsea doing moreBelow the line: Leeds doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: Chelsea · outlined: Leeds

Peak Pressure Index at 38'. CHE 57' · LEE 37' of 95

Who made the match→

16 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines

Decisive
Pedro Neto
F · 45'
7.7
rating
45
minutes
1
shot

1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target

Unseen work
Enzo Fernández
M · 90'
6.9
rating
90
minutes
2
key passes

1 shot, 2 key passes

Off the pace
Marc Cucurella
D · 90'
6.2
rating
90
minutes

90 minutes

Player
Min
Pedro Neto
45
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target
Jamie Gittens
61
1 assist, 1 key pass
Enzo Fernández
90
1 shot, 2 key passes
Alejandro Garnacho
29
2 key passes
Andrey Santos
77
77 minutes
Malo Gusto
45
1 key pass
Liam Delap
61
3 shots, 1 on target
Marc Guiu
13
1 shot
Estêvão
45
1 shot, 1 key pass
Robert Sánchez
90
2 saves
Tosin Adarabioyo
90
90 minutes
João Pedro
90
1 shot, 3 key passes
Marc Cucurella
90
90 minutes
Cole Palmer
29
1 shot
Benoît Badiashile
45
45 minutes
Trevoh Chalobah
90
1 key pass
Filip Jørgensen
0
0 minutes
Josh Acheampong
0
0 minutes
Reece James
0
0 minutes
Jorrel Hato
0
0 minutes
Leeds
Player
Min
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
86
1 goal, 3 shots, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Jaka Bijol
90
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target
Ethan Ampadu
90
90 minutes
Gabriel Gudmundsson
89
1 shot, 2 key passes
Noah Okafor
23
2 shots, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Anton Stach
90
1 assist, 1 shot, 4 key passes
Ao Tanaka
67
1 goal, 4 shots, 1 on target
Joël Piroe
11
11 minutes
Lucas Perri
90
1 save
Pascal Struijk
90
1 shot
Ilia Gruev
23
23 minutes
James Justin
10
10 minutes
Jayden Bogle
87
1 assist, 1 key pass
Lukas Nmecha
67
2 shots, 1 on target
Joe Rodon
90
90 minutes
Wilfried Gnonto
0
0 minutes
Sebastiaan Bornauw
1
1 minutes
Jack Harrison
0
0 minutes
Brenden Aaronson
0
0 minutes
Karl Darlow
0
0 minutes

What it changes

Season to date
−7.1
Points vs expected points
Premier League · 38 played
10th
League rank

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