Premier League · 25 Jan · Selhurst Park
Chelsea
3–1
Crystal Palace
Recap
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
01
Modelled xG 2.20-1.77 against a 3-1 scoreline.
02
Shots 10-13, in the box 8-12.
03
Pressure Index minutes: CHE 70' · CRY 28' of 99.
What the models saw→
Goals against expected, both sides
Chelsea
0123 xG
SMSportmonks2.31
AFAPI-Football2.20
Crystal Palace
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football1.77
SMSportmonks1.75
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor
Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.
Models that reported put Chelsea in a 0.11 xG band. Inside the noise floor. They agree.
2 of 2 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this
Who had the match→
Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · CHE 70' · CRY 28' of 99
34' Estevao
50' Pedro
64' Fernandez
88' Richards
Chelsea
Crystal Palace
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: Chelsea doing moreBelow the line: Crystal Palace doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: Chelsea · outlined: Crystal Palace
Peak Pressure Index at 61'. CHE 70' · CRY 28' of 99
Who made the match→
16 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines
Decisive
Marc Cucurella
D · 90'
7.7
rating
90
minutes
1
shot
1 shot, 1 on target
Unseen work
Andrey Santos
M · 90'
7.2
rating
90
minutes
90 minutes
Off the pace
Pedro NetoM · 74'
6.5
rating
74
minutes
74 minutes
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Marc Cucurella
90
1 shot, 1 on target
Marc Cucurella
90
1 shot, 1 on target
1 goal, 2 shots, 2 on target, 1 key pass
74
1 goal, 1 assist, 3 shots, 2 on target, 1 key pass
Andrey Santos
90
90 minutes
Andrey Santos
90
90 minutes
1 goal, 2 shots, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Alejandro Garnacho
0
0 minutes
Alejandro Garnacho
0
0 minutes
Crystal Palace
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Chris Richards
90
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target
Chris Richards
90
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target
Will Hughes
14
1 key pass
Will Hughes
14
1 key pass
Yéremy Pino
25
1 shot, 3 key passes
Yéremy Pino
25
1 shot, 3 key passes
Chadi Riad
14
1 assist, 1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Chadi Riad
14
1 assist, 1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Tyrick Mitchell
65
1 key pass
Tyrick Mitchell
65
1 key pass
Jean-Philippe Mateta
85
2 shots, 1 on target
Jean-Philippe Mateta
85
2 shots, 1 on target
Borna Sosa
25
25 minutes
Borna Sosa
25
25 minutes
Ismaïla Sarr
90
2 shots, 1 on target, 2 key passes
Ismaïla Sarr
90
2 shots, 1 on target, 2 key passes
Brennan Johnson
76
76 minutes
Brennan Johnson
76
76 minutes
Christantus Uche
15
15 minutes
Christantus Uche
15
15 minutes
Maxence Lacroix
90
1 shot, 1 on target
Maxence Lacroix
90
1 shot, 1 on target
Daniel Muñoz
76
76 minutes
Daniel Muñoz
76
76 minutes
Adam Wharton
72
72 minutes
Adam Wharton
72
72 minutes
Jefferson Lerma
90
2 shots, 2 on target
Jefferson Lerma
90
2 shots, 2 on target
Dean Henderson
90
2 saves
Dean Henderson
90
2 saves
Jaydee Canvot
65
65 minutes
Jaydee Canvot
65
65 minutes
Walter Benítez
0
0 minutes
Walter Benítez
0
0 minutes
Justin Devenny
0
0 minutes
Justin Devenny
0
0 minutes
Daniel Imray
0
0 minutes
Daniel Imray
0
0 minutes
Kaden Rodney
0
0 minutes
Kaden Rodney
0
0 minutes
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