Premier League · 21 Feb · Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
1–1
Burnley
Recap
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
01
Modelled xG 1.99-0.85 against a 1-1 scoreline.
02
Shots 12-12, in the box 6-9.
03
Pressure Index minutes: CHE 51' · BUR 48' of 100.
What the models saw→
Goals against expected, both sides
Chelsea
0123 xG
SMSportmonks2.19
AFAPI-Football1.99
Burnley
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football0.85
SMSportmonks1.07
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor
Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.
Models that reported put Chelsea in a 0.20 xG band. Inside the noise floor. They agree.
2 of 2 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this
Who had the match→
Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · CHE 51' · BUR 48' of 100
4' Pedro
90' Flemming
Chelsea
Burnley
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: Chelsea doing moreBelow the line: Burnley doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: Chelsea · outlined: Burnley
Peak Pressure Index at 6'. CHE 51' · BUR 48' of 100
Who made the match→
16 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines
Decisive
Pedro NetoM · 88'
8.3
rating
88
minutes
3
key passes
1 assist, 3 key passes
Unseen work
Robert SánchezG · 90'
7.3
rating
90
minutes
3
saves
3 saves
Off the pace
Enzo FernándezM · 90'
6.0
rating
90
minutes
1
shot
1 shot
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Andrey Santos
90
90 minutes
Andrey Santos
90
90 minutes
1 goal, 2 shots, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Alejandro Garnacho
0
0 minutes
Alejandro Garnacho
0
0 minutes
Burnley
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Zian Flemming
90
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Zian Flemming
90
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
James Ward-Prowse
33
1 assist, 2 key passes
James Ward-Prowse
33
1 assist, 2 key passes
Maxime Estève
90
1 shot
Maxime Estève
90
1 shot
Lucas Pires
45
1 key pass
Lucas Pires
45
1 key pass
Bashir Humphreys
83
83 minutes
Bashir Humphreys
83
83 minutes
Marcus Edwards
90
2 shots
Marcus Edwards
90
2 shots
Hannibal Mejbri
90
2 shots, 2 on target
Hannibal Mejbri
90
2 shots, 2 on target
Martin Dúbravka
90
1 save
Martin Dúbravka
90
1 save
Joe Worrall
90
90 minutes
Joe Worrall
90
90 minutes
Josh Laurent
78
1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Josh Laurent
78
1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Lesley Ugochukwu
57
1 shot
Lesley Ugochukwu
57
1 shot
Loum Tchaouna
14
1 key pass
Loum Tchaouna
14
1 key pass
Ashley Barnes
13
13 minutes
Ashley Barnes
13
13 minutes
Jacob Bruun Larsen
12
1 shot, 1 key pass
Jacob Bruun Larsen
12
1 shot, 1 key pass
Kyle Walker
45
45 minutes
Kyle Walker
45
45 minutes
Jaidon Anthony
84
1 shot, 2 key passes
Jaidon Anthony
84
1 shot, 2 key passes
Max Weiss
0
0 minutes
Max Weiss
0
0 minutes
Quilindschy Hartman
0
0 minutes
Quilindschy Hartman
0
0 minutes
Hjalmar Ekdal
0
0 minutes
Hjalmar Ekdal
0
0 minutes
Florentino Luís
0
0 minutes
Florentino Luís
0
0 minutes
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