Premier League · 27 Sept · Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
1–3
Brighton
Recap
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
01
Modelled xG 1.81-2.28 against a 1-3 scoreline.
02
Shots 13-12, in the box 7-8.
03
Pressure Index minutes: CHE 74' · BRI 26' of 101.
What the models saw→
Goals against expected, both sides
Chelsea
0123 xG
SMSportmonks1.58
AFAPI-Football1.81
Brighton
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football2.28
SMSportmonks1.66
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor
Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.
Models that reported put Chelsea in a 0.23 xG band. Inside the noise floor. They agree.
2 of 2 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this
Who had the match→
Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · CHE 74' · BRI 26' of 101
24' Fernandez
77' Welbeck
90' Welbeck
90' Cuyper
Chelsea
Brighton
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: Chelsea doing moreBelow the line: Brighton doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: Chelsea · outlined: Brighton
Peak Pressure Index at 24'. CHE 74' · BRI 26' of 101
Who made the match→
15 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines
Decisive
Reece JamesD · 90'
7.7
rating
90
minutes
1
key pass
1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Unseen work
EstêvãoF · 63'
6.9
rating
63
minutes
63 minutes
Off the pace
Trevoh ChalobahD · 53'
5.3
rating
53
minutes
53 minutes
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
1 goal, 4 shots, 2 on target, 1 key pass
Andrey Santos
54
1 key pass
Andrey Santos
54
1 key pass
Marc Cucurella
90
1 shot, 1 key pass
Marc Cucurella
90
1 shot, 1 key pass
Tyrique George
0
0 minutes
Tyrique George
0
0 minutes
Alejandro Garnacho
0
0 minutes
Alejandro Garnacho
0
0 minutes
Brighton
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Danny Welbeck
23
2 goals, 3 shots, 2 on target
Danny Welbeck
23
2 goals, 3 shots, 2 on target
Jan Paul van Hecke
90
90 minutes
Jan Paul van Hecke
90
90 minutes
Bart Verbruggen
90
2 saves
Bart Verbruggen
90
2 saves
Maxim De Cuyper
19
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target
Maxim De Cuyper
19
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
90
1 key pass
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
90
1 key pass
Yasin Ayari
90
1 shot, 2 key passes
Yasin Ayari
90
1 shot, 2 key passes
Brajan Gruda
23
1 assist, 1 key pass
Brajan Gruda
23
1 assist, 1 key pass
Mats Wieffer
35
1 assist, 1 key pass
Mats Wieffer
35
1 assist, 1 key pass
Joël Veltman
55
55 minutes
Joël Veltman
55
55 minutes
Diego Gómez
85
1 shot
Diego Gómez
85
1 shot
Georginio Rutter
85
1 key pass
Georginio Rutter
85
1 key pass
Kaoru Mitoma
67
67 minutes
Kaoru Mitoma
67
67 minutes
Lewis Dunk
90
1 shot
Lewis Dunk
90
1 shot
Stefanos Tzimas
19
1 shot, 1 key pass
Stefanos Tzimas
19
1 shot, 1 key pass
Yankuba Minteh
90
1 assist, 2 shots, 1 key pass
Yankuba Minteh
90
1 assist, 2 shots, 1 key pass
Carlos Baleba
67
67 minutes
Carlos Baleba
67
67 minutes
Jason Steele
0
0 minutes
Jason Steele
0
0 minutes
Diego Coppola
0
0 minutes
Diego Coppola
0
0 minutes
Olivier Boscagli
0
0 minutes
Olivier Boscagli
0
0 minutes
James Milner
0
0 minutes
James Milner
0
0 minutes
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