Premier League · 27 Dec · Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
1–2
Aston Villa
Recap
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
01
Modelled xG 2.14-1.19 against a 1-2 scoreline.
02
Shots 14-11, in the box 8-7.
03
Pressure Index minutes: CHE 64' · AST 30' of 95.
What the models saw→
Goals against expected, both sides
Chelsea
0123 xG
SMSportmonks2.15
AFAPI-Football2.14
Aston Villa
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football1.19
SMSportmonks1.69
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor
Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.
Models that reported put Chelsea in a 0.01 xG band. Inside the noise floor. They agree.
2 of 2 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this
Who had the match→
Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · CHE 64' · AST 30' of 95
37' Pedro
63' Watkins
84' Watkins
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: Chelsea doing moreBelow the line: Aston Villa doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: Chelsea · outlined: Aston Villa
Peak Pressure Index at 27'. CHE 64' · AST 30' of 95
Who made the match→
15 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines
Decisive
Reece JamesD · 90'
8.3
rating
90
minutes
3
key passes
1 assist, 1 shot, 3 key passes
Unseen work
Enzo FernándezM · 90'
7.3
rating
90
minutes
1
key pass
1 shot, 1 key pass
Off the pace
Trevoh ChalobahD · 90'
6.3
rating
90
minutes
90 minutes
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Alejandro Garnacho
69
1 shot, 2 key passes
Alejandro Garnacho
69
1 shot, 2 key passes
Marc Cucurella
69
1 key pass
Marc Cucurella
69
1 key pass
Andrey Santos
0
0 minutes
Andrey Santos
0
0 minutes
Aston Villa
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Ollie Watkins
32
2 goals, 4 shots, 4 on target
Ollie Watkins
32
2 goals, 4 shots, 4 on target
Emiliano Martínez
90
2 saves
Emiliano Martínez
90
2 saves
Youri Tielemans
90
1 assist, 2 key passes
Youri Tielemans
90
1 assist, 2 key passes
Ezri Konsa
90
90 minutes
Ezri Konsa
90
90 minutes
Amadou Onana
31
31 minutes
Amadou Onana
31
31 minutes
Jadon Sancho
31
1 shot, 1 on target
Jadon Sancho
31
1 shot, 1 on target
Matty Cash
90
1 key pass
Matty Cash
90
1 key pass
Lamare Bogarde
13
13 minutes
Lamare Bogarde
13
13 minutes
Lucas Digne
13
1 shot, 1 on target
Lucas Digne
13
1 shot, 1 on target
Boubacar Kamara
83
1 shot, 1 on target
Boubacar Kamara
83
1 shot, 1 on target
John McGinn
59
59 minutes
John McGinn
59
59 minutes
Victor Lindelöf
90
90 minutes
Victor Lindelöf
90
90 minutes
Donyell Malen
59
59 minutes
Donyell Malen
59
59 minutes
Morgan Rogers
90
1 shot, 3 key passes
Morgan Rogers
90
1 shot, 3 key passes
Emiliano Buendía
58
1 key pass
Emiliano Buendía
58
1 key pass
Ian Maatsen
83
1 shot, 1 on target
Ian Maatsen
83
1 shot, 1 on target
Marco Bizot
0
0 minutes
Marco Bizot
0
0 minutes
Andrés García
0
0 minutes
Andrés García
0
0 minutes
George Hemmings
0
0 minutes
George Hemmings
0
0 minutes
Jamaldeen Jimoh
0
0 minutes
Jamaldeen Jimoh
0
0 minutes
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