Premier League · 30 Nov · Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
1–1
Arsenal
Recap
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
01
Modelled xG 0.79-1.26 against a 1-1 scoreline.
02
Shots 11-8, in the box 6-6.
03
Pressure Index minutes: CHE 27' · ARS 65' of 93.
What the models saw→
Goals against expected, both sides
Chelsea
0123 xG
SMSportmonks1.29
AFAPI-Football0.79
Arsenal
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football1.26
SMSportmonks1.28
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor
Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.
Models that reported put Chelsea in a 0.50 xG band. A normal week's disagreement.
2 of 2 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this
Who had the match→
Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · CHE 27' · ARS 65' of 93
48' Chalobah
59' Merino
Chelsea
Arsenal
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: Chelsea doing moreBelow the line: Arsenal doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: Chelsea · outlined: Arsenal
Peak Pressure Index at 19'. CHE 27' · ARS 65' of 93
Who made the match→
13 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines
Decisive
Robert SánchezG · 90'
8.3
rating
90
minutes
3
saves
1 key pass, 3 saves
Unseen work
João PedroF · 55'
7.0
rating
55
minutes
1
shot
1 shot, 1 on target
Off the pace
Marc Cucurella
D · 90'
6.3
rating
90
minutes
2
key passes
2 key passes
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Alejandro Garnacho
45
45 minutes
Alejandro Garnacho
45
45 minutes
Marc Cucurella
90
2 key passes
Marc Cucurella
90
2 key passes
Andrey Santos
0
0 minutes
Andrey Santos
0
0 minutes
Arsenal
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Mikel Merino
90
1 goal, 3 shots, 2 on target
Mikel Merino
90
1 goal, 3 shots, 2 on target
David Raya
90
3 saves
David Raya
90
3 saves
Bukayo Saka
90
1 assist, 2 shots, 1 on target, 2 key passes
Bukayo Saka
90
1 assist, 2 shots, 1 on target, 2 key passes
Declan Rice
90
1 key pass
Declan Rice
90
1 key pass
Jurriën Timber
90
1 shot
Jurriën Timber
90
1 shot
Riccardo Calafiori
45
45 minutes
Riccardo Calafiori
45
45 minutes
Piero Hincapié
90
1 key pass
Piero Hincapié
90
1 key pass
Cristhian Mosquera
90
90 minutes
Cristhian Mosquera
90
90 minutes
Martin Ødegaard
33
1 key pass
Martin Ødegaard
33
1 key pass
Gabriel Martinelli
57
1 shot, 1 on target
Gabriel Martinelli
57
1 shot, 1 on target
Martín Zubimendi
57
1 key pass
Martín Zubimendi
57
1 key pass
Viktor Gyökeres
18
1 key pass
Viktor Gyökeres
18
1 key pass
Noni Madueke
33
33 minutes
Noni Madueke
33
33 minutes
Eberechi Eze
72
1 key pass
Eberechi Eze
72
1 key pass
Myles Lewis-Skelly
45
45 minutes
Myles Lewis-Skelly
45
45 minutes
Kepa Arrizabalaga
0
0 minutes
Kepa Arrizabalaga
0
0 minutes
Ben White
0
0 minutes
Ben White
0
0 minutes
Christian Nørgaard
0
0 minutes
Christian Nørgaard
0
0 minutes
Ethan Nwaneri
0
0 minutes
Ethan Nwaneri
0
0 minutes
Gabriel Jesus
0
0 minutes
Gabriel Jesus
0
0 minutes
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