Premier League · 1 Mar · Emirates Stadium
Chelsea
1–2
Arsenal
Recap
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
01
Modelled xG 1.07-1.09 against a 1-2 scoreline.
02
Shots 9-12, in the box 5-7.
03
Pressure Index minutes: CHE 50' · ARS 50' of 101.
What the models saw→
Goals against expected, both sides
Chelsea
0123 xG
SMSportmonks1.15
AFAPI-Football1.07
Arsenal
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football1.09
SMSportmonks1.69
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor
Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.
Models that reported put Chelsea in a 0.08 xG band. Inside the noise floor. They agree.
2 of 2 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this
Who had the match→
Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · CHE 50' · ARS 50' of 101
21' Saliba
45' Hincapie
66' Timber
Chelsea
Arsenal
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: Chelsea doing moreBelow the line: Arsenal doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: Chelsea · outlined: Arsenal
Peak Pressure Index at 59'. CHE 50' · ARS 50' of 101
Who made the match→
16 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines
Decisive
Robert SánchezG · 90'
7.7
rating
90
minutes
3
saves
3 saves
Unseen work
Moisés CaicedoM · 90'
7.3
rating
90
minutes
1
shot
1 shot
Off the pace
Mamadou SarrD · 89'
6.0
rating
89
minutes
1
shot
1 shot
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Andrey Santos
75
75 minutes
Andrey Santos
75
75 minutes
Alejandro Garnacho
11
11 minutes
Alejandro Garnacho
11
11 minutes
Arsenal
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Declan Rice
76
1 assist, 1 shot, 2 key passes
Declan Rice
76
1 assist, 1 shot, 2 key passes
David Raya
90
4 saves
David Raya
90
4 saves
Gabriel Magalhães
90
1 assist, 1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Gabriel Magalhães
90
1 assist, 1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Jurriën Timber
90
1 goal, 2 shots, 2 on target, 1 key pass
Jurriën Timber
90
1 goal, 2 shots, 2 on target, 1 key pass
William Saliba
90
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target
William Saliba
90
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target
Martín Zubimendi
90
1 shot
Martín Zubimendi
90
1 shot
Bukayo Saka
90
5 key passes
Bukayo Saka
90
5 key passes
Eberechi Eze
90
2 shots, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Eberechi Eze
90
2 shots, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Leandro Trossard
56
1 key pass
Leandro Trossard
56
1 key pass
Gabriel Martinelli
34
34 minutes
Gabriel Martinelli
34
34 minutes
Kai Havertz
14
14 minutes
Kai Havertz
14
14 minutes
Viktor Gyökeres
76
76 minutes
Viktor Gyökeres
76
76 minutes
Christian Nørgaard
14
14 minutes
Christian Nørgaard
14
14 minutes
Piero Hincapié
90
90 minutes
Piero Hincapié
90
90 minutes
Kepa Arrizabalaga
0
0 minutes
Kepa Arrizabalaga
0
0 minutes
Cristhian Mosquera
0
0 minutes
Cristhian Mosquera
0
0 minutes
Riccardo Calafiori
0
0 minutes
Riccardo Calafiori
0
0 minutes
Myles Lewis-Skelly
0
0 minutes
Myles Lewis-Skelly
0
0 minutes
Noni Madueke
0
0 minutes
Noni Madueke
0
0 minutes
Gabriel Jesus
0
0 minutes
Gabriel Jesus
0
0 minutes
Got a take on that one?
I check it against the numbers and show the working.
ConvictionConfident
Coming soon
The take tester is being rebuilt.