xF.
Portland Timbers

0–1

xG 2.29–0.99

Atlanta United

Providence Park

Portland · Sat 19 Sept, 19:30 PT · Major League Soccer · Cap 25,218

xVerdict
Fact

Atlanta 1, Portland 0. Expected goals 2.29–0.99 to Portland.

xAnalysis

Portland created the better chances and still lost. One Atlanta finish decided it.

Share

Chance story

Fact

Expected goals 2.29–0.99. On target 0.89–0.95. Open-play expected goals 2.02–0.99.

xAnalysis

Portland’s chance mass rarely became a save-or-score problem. Atlanta’s thinner night finished closer to the shots that mattered.

Expected goalsFact
Expected goals 2.29–0.99. On target 0.89–0.95. Open-play expected goals 2.02–0.99.
POTATL

Expected goals

2.29 – 0.99

Expected goals on target

0.89 – 0.95

Shooting performance

−1.40 – −0.03

Expected points

2.18 – 0.63

Open-play expected goals

2.02 – 0.99

Where the chances came fromFact
Open-play expected goals 2.02–0.98.
xAnalysis

The chance gap was almost all open play.

POTATL
2.02Open play0.98
0.27Set play0.00
0.06Free kicks0.00
0.21Corners0.00
Shot profileFact
Shots 21–10. Big chances missed 5–1.
xAnalysis

Volume without a finish — five big chances, none converted.

POTATL

Shots

21 – 10

xG / shot

0.11 – 0.10

On target

3 – 3

Inside box

16 – 7

Outside box

5 – 3

Blocked

6 – 3

Woodwork

0 – 0

Big chances

5 – 1

Big missed

5 – 1

KeeperFact
Expected goals prevented −0.05–0.89.
xAnalysis

Atlanta’s last line faced more of the hard work.

POT

-0.05

xG prevented

ATL

0.89

xG prevented

Decisive people & moments

Fact

28' — Aleksey Miranchuk, assisted by Miguel Almirón. Final score 0–1.

xAnalysis

That was the only goal. Cards and substitutions changed bodies, not who created the better chances.

28'Fact
Aleksey Miranchuk (assist Miguel Almirón) — left-foot finish, 0–1.

Aleksey MiranchukMiguel Almirón

goal

TimelineFact
ATL scored in the 28'. Final score 0–1.
xAnalysis

One finish decided a night Portland still led on chance quality.

First half

  • 25'Yellow, Diego Chará  (Foul).
  • 28'Aleksey Miranchuk scores (left foot shot, Miguel Almirón ).
  • 32'Matthew Edwards on, Tomás Jacob off.
  • 45+1'Yellow, Giuliano Galoppo (Time wasting).
  • 45+1'Yellow, Joel Waterman (Argument).

Second half

  • 58'Vincent Janssen on, Antony off.
  • 64'Yellow, Tristan Muyumba (Foul).
  • 65'Cooper Sanchez on, Giuliano Galoppo off.
  • 75'Omir Fernandez  on, Cole Bassett off.
  • 75'Joao Ortiz on, Diego Chará  off.
  • 75'Ian Smith on, Jimer Fory off.
  • 82'Ajani Fortune  on, Tristan Muyumba off.
  • 82'Enea Mihaj on, Paulo Díaz off.
  • 85'Gage Guerra on, Ronald Hernández off.
  • Goal
  • Yellow card
  • Red card
  • Substitution
  • VAR
Starting shape · 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1Fact
Formations 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1.
xAnalysis

Atlanta kept the extra midfielder; Portland’s front three never matched the chance count with a cut-back.

POT · 4-3-3ATL · 4-2-3-1

27101112172021274199136810111427365559WatermanLassiterCostaAntonyHernándezBassettSurmanCharáForyPantemisVeldeHoyosBáezAlonsoMuyumbaAlmirónGaloppoAmaroDíazEmboloJacobMiranchuk
Player ratingsFact
XI averages 7.0–7.1. Miranchuk highest.
xAnalysis

The sides rated close; the scorer was the top mark.

POT

2Joel WatermanDF907.53
27Jimer ForyDF757.32
99Kristoffer VeldeFW907.32
10David Da CostaMF907.32
7Ariel LassiterFW907.02
12Ronald HernándezDF857.02
17Cole BassettMF757.02
41James PantemisGK906.80
14Vincent JanssenFW326.71
20Finn SurmanDF906.70
21Diego CharáMF756.70
23Ian SmithDF156.60
11AntonyFW586.63
88Gage GuerraFW56.51
80Joao OrtizMF156.50
22Omir FernandezFW156.40

ATL

59Aleksey MiranchukMF907.84
1Lucas HoyosGK907.50
3Elías BáezDF907.32
6Júnior AlonsoDF907.20
10Miguel AlmirónMF907.20
27Paulo DíazDF827.10
8Tristan MuyumbaMF826.90
11Giuliano GaloppoMF656.91
47Matthew EdwardsDF586.90
14Mauricio AmaroMF906.90
36Breel EmboloFW906.71
4Enea MihajDF86.70
35Ajani FortuneMF86.60
55Tomás JacobDF326.61
48Cooper SanchezMF256.30
Missing playersFact
POT named 2 absences.
xAnalysis

ATL had none stored.

POT

  • Alexander AravenaUnavailable
  • Juan MosqueraUnavailable

ATL

None stored.

How it tilted

Fact

Possession 53–47. Pressure and attacks favored Portland.

xAnalysis

Portland leaned for long stretches. Atlanta scored once and managed the rest.

PossessionFact
Possession 53–47.
POTATL

Possession %

53% – 47%

MomentumFact
Pressure favored Portland for most of the night.
xAnalysis

Portland leaned; Atlanta managed after the goal.

  • Goal
  • Big chance
HT1H2H
Field tiltFact
Ball share: 45% in Atlanta’s third, 25% in Portland’s.
xAnalysis

Portland pinned the evening without turning it into a goal.

POT thirdMiddleATL third
25%30%45%
POTATL
Match statsFact
Possession 54–46. Expected goals 2.29–0.99.
xAnalysis

Portland had the ball and the better chances — and still lost.

POTATL

Possession

54% – 46%

Lge 50.0%

Passes

519 – 456

Lge 467.8

Corners

5 – 3

Lge 5.0

Tackles

16 – 16

Lge 15.0

npxG

2.29 – 0.99