MLS · 22 Jul · Dignity Health Sports Park
LA Galaxy
1–3
St. Louis City
Recap
Sources complete · 3 of 3 models
01
Modelled xG 0.98-2.04 against a 1-3 scoreline.
02
Shots 11-15, in the box 6-11.
03
Pressure Index minutes: LA 24' · STL 75' of 100.

What the models saw→

Goals against expected, both sides

LA Galaxy
0123 xG
SMSportmonks1.17
AFAPI-Football0.98
ASAAmerican Soccer Analysis1.29
St. Louis City
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football2.04
ASAAmerican Soccer Analysis2.11
SMSportmonks0.96
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor

Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.

Models that reported put LA Galaxy in a 0.31 xG band. A normal week's disagreement.

3 of 3 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this

Who had the match→

Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · LA 24' · STL 75' of 100

42' MacNaughton
45' Hartel
68' Becher
86' Elgersma
LA Galaxy
St. Louis City
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: LA Galaxy doing moreBelow the line: St. Louis City doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: LA Galaxy · outlined: St. Louis City

Peak Pressure Index at 40'. LA 24' · STL 75' of 100

Who made the match→

16 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines

Decisive
JT Marcinkowski
G · 90'
8.5
rating
90
minutes
6
saves

6 saves

Unseen work
Lucas Sanabria
M · 65'
7.3
rating
65
minutes
1
key pass

1 key pass

Off the pace
Carlos Garcés
D · 49'
5.5
rating
49
minutes

49 minutes

Component ratings out of ten. An average night is 6.5. Above is better than that player's own baseline, below is worse. Ratings need 300 minutes of history.

Player
Min
Att→
Cre→
Pass→
Def→
Harbor Miller
90
6.1
6.0
6.0
6.0
90 minutes
Jakob Glesnes
90
6.0
6.3
4.9
7.5
90 minutes
JT Marcinkowski
90
–
–
7.9
5.9
6 saves
Justin Haak
90
6.4
5.8
5.2
5.1
90 minutes
Miki Yamane
90
7.2
7.0
7.7
6.8
90 minutes
Elijah Wynder
74
6.0
5.4
5.6
6.1
74 minutes
Joseph Paintsil
74
5.2
7.1
7.5
8.0
74 minutes
Lucas Sanabria
65
5.3
7.3
6.8
6.6
65 minutes
John Nelson
64
5.9
6.1
5.7
5.4
64 minutes
Marco Reus
59
6.8
5.4
5.4
6.8
59 minutes
Carlos Garcés
49
6.3
5.2
7.1
7.1
49 minutes
Robert Taylor
31
–
–
–
–
31 minutes
Julián Aude
26
7.3
6.7
4.6
6.6
26 minutes
Isaiah Parente
25
–
–
–
–
25 minutes
Maya Yoshida
16
5.0
8.0
8.0
5.0
16 minutes
Troy Elgersma
16
–
–
–
–
1 goal, 2 on target
St. Louis City
Player
Min
Att→
Cre→
Pass→
Def→
Christopher Durkin
90
5.0
6.4
7.9
6.0
5 tackles and interceptions
Dante Polvara
90
6.4
5.8
7.1
5.3
90 minutes
Marcel Hartel
90
7.7
8.5
7.5
8.2
1 goal, 2 assists
Roman Bürki
90
–
–
5.8
6.4
2 saves
Timo Baumgartl
90
6.1
6.4
6.4
6.0
90 minutes
Tomas Totland
90
5.3
8.2
4.6
8.0
1 assist, 6 tackles and interceptions
Daniel Edelman
86
5.9
5.8
6.4
8.1
5 tackles and interceptions
Simon Becher
86
8.5
5.6
5.5
7.6
1 goal, 4 on target
Eduard Löwen
62
5.0
5.7
5.2
5.6
62 minutes
Lukas MacNaughton
62
8.5
5.1
7.4
6.4
1 goal
Mykhi Joyner
62
–
–
–
–
62 minutes
Jaziel Orozco
28
6.2
5.5
7.9
4.8
28 minutes
Jeong Sang-bin
28
8.3
8.2
5.1
5.4
28 minutes
Rafael Santos
28
5.1
5.0
8.3
4.7
28 minutes
Miguel Perez
10
–
–
–
–
10 minutes
Palmer Ault
10
–
–
–
–
10 minutes

What it changes

Season to date
−4.6
Points vs expected points
Western Conference · 20 played
13th
Conference rank
Season xG 6.3 · goals 4
−2.3
Paintsil · goals over expected

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