MLS · 16 May · Lumen Field
LA Galaxy
2–0
Seattle Sounders
Recap
Sources complete · 3 of 3 models
01
Modelled xG 2.24-1.53 against a 2-0 scoreline.
02
Shots 9-15, in the box 8-9.
03
Pressure Index minutes: LA 31' · SEA 68' of 101.

What the models saw→

Goals against expected, both sides

LA Galaxy
0123 xG
SMSportmonks1.35
AFAPI-Football2.24
ASAAmerican Soccer Analysis1.88
Seattle Sounders
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football1.53
ASAAmerican Soccer Analysis1.79
SMSportmonks1.02
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor

Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.

Models that reported put LA Galaxy in a 0.89 xG band. A wide spread. The models are reading the chances differently.

3 of 3 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this

Who had the match→

Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · LA 31' · SEA 68' of 101

23' Pec
90' Nascimento
LA Galaxy
Seattle Sounders
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: LA Galaxy doing moreBelow the line: Seattle Sounders doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: LA Galaxy · outlined: Seattle Sounders

Peak Pressure Index at 47'. LA 31' · SEA 68' of 101

Who made the match→

16 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines

Decisive
Gabriel Pec
M · 90'
8.3
rating
90
minutes
4
key passes

1 goal, 1 assist, 2 shots, 1 on target, 4 key passes

Unseen work
Jakob Glesnes
D · 90'
7.3
rating
90
minutes
1
shot

1 shot

Off the pace
Joseph Paintsil
M · 83'
6.0
rating
83
minutes
1
shot

1 shot

Component ratings out of ten. An average night is 6.5. Above is better than that player's own baseline, below is worse. Ratings need 300 minutes of history.

Player
Min
Att→
Cre→
Pass→
Def→
Elijah Wynder
90
6.0
5.5
5.8
7.8
4 tackles and interceptions
Gabriel Pec
90
7.4
8.2
5.8
5.0
1 goal, 1 assist
Jakob Glesnes
90
6.5
6.3
6.1
8.1
4 tackles and interceptions
John Nelson
90
5.9
6.1
7.0
5.9
90 minutes
JT Marcinkowski
90
–
–
4.7
7.6
5 saves
Justin Haak
90
6.1
5.4
5.9
5.8
4 tackles and interceptions
Edwin Cerrillo
89
5.9
7.8
6.6
5.9
89 minutes
Joseph Paintsil
83
5.1
5.0
6.5
5.1
83 minutes
Erik Thommy
65
5.1
7.6
5.1
5.1
65 minutes
Marco Reus
65
6.4
7.6
5.3
6.6
1 assist
Miki Yamane
65
5.9
6.3
6.5
5.8
65 minutes
Harbor Miller
25
6.3
6.2
4.5
5.0
25 minutes
Lucas Sanabria
25
5.0
5.1
4.8
8.4
4 tackles and interceptions
Mauricio Cuevas
25
5.6
5.3
8.2
4.6
25 minutes
Matheus Nascimento
11
–
–
–
–
1 goal
Maya Yoshida
1
–
–
–
–
1 minutes
Seattle Sounders
Player
Min
Att→
Cre→
Pass→
Def→
Andrew Thomas
90
–
–
8.1
5.2
90 minutes
Hassani Dotson
90
5.7
7.8
7.1
5.4
90 minutes
Jackson Ragen
90
5.8
5.9
7.0
8.1
90 minutes
Jordan Morris
90
5.6
5.6
7.5
8.4
90 minutes
Nouhou Tolo
90
7.8
5.3
6.8
8.3
6 tackles and interceptions
Snyder Brunell
76
5.8
6.9
5.2
7.1
76 minutes
Antino Lopez
61
7.3
8.2
6.7
5.5
61 minutes
Jesús Ferreira
61
5.0
6.6
4.7
8.0
3 key passes, 4 tackles and interceptions
Paul Arriola
61
8.2
5.3
8.3
5.0
61 minutes
Peter Kingston
45
5.9
5.3
4.6
6.0
45 minutes
Daniel Musovski
12
–
–
–
–
12 minutes
Albert Rusnák
78
6.6
5.3
8.1
7.4
78 minutes
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
45
5.0
7.5
6.2
5.8
45 minutes
Cristian Roldán
29
5.0
5.0
6.6
7.7
29 minutes
Osaze De Rosario
29
6.1
8.4
6.5
6.4
29 minutes
Paul Rothrock
29
5.3
8.0
8.4
7.8
29 minutes
Sebastian Gomez
14
–
–
–
–
14 minutes

What it changes

Season to date
−4.6
Points vs expected points
Western Conference · 20 played
13th
Conference rank
Season xG 6.3 · goals 4
−2.3
Paintsil · goals over expected

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