MLS · 23 May · Dignity Health Sports Park
LA Galaxy
1–1
Houston Dynamo
Recap
Sources complete · 3 of 3 models
01
Modelled xG 2.27-0.91 against a 1-1 scoreline.
02
Shots 18-10, in the box 11-5.
03
Pressure Index minutes: LA 52' · HOU 45' of 98.

What the models saw→

Goals against expected, both sides

LA Galaxy
0123 xG
SMSportmonks2.12
AFAPI-Football2.27
ASAAmerican Soccer Analysis3.05
Houston Dynamo
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football0.91
ASAAmerican Soccer Analysis0.70
SMSportmonks0.56
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor

Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.

Models that reported put LA Galaxy in a 0.93 xG band. A wide spread. The models are reading the chances differently.

3 of 3 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this

Who had the match→

Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · LA 52' · HOU 45' of 98

28' Paintsil
41' Guilherme
LA Galaxy
Houston Dynamo
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: LA Galaxy doing moreBelow the line: Houston Dynamo doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: LA Galaxy · outlined: Houston Dynamo

Peak Pressure Index at 92'. LA 52' · HOU 45' of 98

Who made the match→

15 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines

Decisive
Edwin Cerrillo
M · 90'
7.9
rating
90
minutes
3
key passes

1 shot, 1 on target, 3 key passes

Unseen work
Justin Haak
D · 90'
7.3
rating
90
minutes
1
key pass

1 key pass

Off the pace
Elijah Wynder
M · 57'
6.2
rating
57
minutes
1
shot

1 shot

Component ratings out of ten. An average night is 6.5. Above is better than that player's own baseline, below is worse. Ratings need 300 minutes of history.

Player
Min
Att→
Cre→
Pass→
Def→
Edwin Cerrillo
90
7.7
8.2
6.2
7.8
3 key passes, 4 tackles and interceptions
Gabriel Pec
90
5.2
5.0
7.2
5.4
90 minutes
Jakob Glesnes
90
6.0
6.3
7.6
7.8
90 minutes
John Nelson
90
5.9
6.1
6.8
8.0
90 minutes
JT Marcinkowski
90
–
–
8.3
6.4
3 saves
Justin Haak
90
6.4
7.3
6.5
6.5
4 tackles and interceptions
Marco Reus
90
5.5
6.3
8.1
4.8
5 key passes
Joseph Paintsil
79
8.3
5.2
6.7
6.5
1 goal, 2 on target
Miki Yamane
67
7.0
8.5
8.2
7.3
1 assist, 4 tackles and interceptions
Elijah Wynder
57
6.8
5.6
8.3
5.2
57 minutes
Erik Thommy
57
5.7
5.5
7.0
4.7
57 minutes
Lucas Sanabria
33
5.0
7.8
8.0
8.0
33 minutes
Matheus Nascimento
33
–
–
–
–
33 minutes
Mauricio Cuevas
23
5.6
7.6
8.3
7.3
23 minutes
Harbor Miller
11
–
–
–
–
11 minutes
Houston Dynamo
Player
Min
Att→
Cre→
Pass→
Def→
Agustin Resch
90
5.8
7.7
7.6
7.2
4 tackles and interceptions
Antônio Carlos
90
6.1
6.1
6.9
5.4
90 minutes
Felipe Andrade
90
5.6
6.0
5.7
7.8
7 tackles and interceptions
Jack McGlynn
90
6.6
7.8
7.3
6.4
1 assist, 5 key passes
Jonathan Bond
90
–
–
7.4
7.6
5 saves
Lawrence Ennali
90
5.6
5.2
7.1
6.5
90 minutes
Mateusz Bogusz
90
6.1
5.3
7.7
8.3
2 on target, 4 tackles and interceptions
Guilherme
85
6.7
5.7
8.1
6.9
1 goal
Artur
78
7.8
5.1
5.9
4.6
78 minutes
Héctor Herrera
78
5.4
5.8
7.3
5.1
78 minutes
Ondrej Lingr
66
5.8
6.1
5.0
5.8
66 minutes
Ezequiel Ponce
24
5.5
5.1
4.6
6.0
24 minutes
Agustín Bouzat
12
–
–
–
–
12 minutes
Diadié Samassékou
12
–
–
–
–
12 minutes
Ibrahim Aliyu
10
–
–
–
–
10 minutes

What it changes

Season to date
−4.6
Points vs expected points
Western Conference · 20 played
13th
Conference rank
Season xG 6.3 · goals 4
−2.3
Paintsil · goals over expected

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