MLS · 1 Aug · Dignity Health Sports Park
LA Galaxy
0–0
FC Dallas
Recap
Sources complete · 3 of 3 models
01
Modelled xG 1.16-1.54 against a 0-0 scoreline.
02
Shots 18-18, in the box 14-14.
03
Pressure Index minutes: LA 47' · DAL 48' of 96.
Preview thesis

Once you price in who's missing and the venue, FC Dallas look the stronger side on the season so far.

Availability-adjusted projected xG 1.19-1.40: FC Dallas the better side once absences are priced in.

Missed

What the models saw→

Goals against expected, both sides

LA Galaxy
0123 xG
SMSportmonks0.51
AFAPI-Football1.16
ASAAmerican Soccer Analysis1.50
FC Dallas
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football1.54
ASAAmerican Soccer Analysis2.15
SMSportmonks1.31
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor

Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.

Models that reported put LA Galaxy in a 0.99 xG band. A wide spread. The models are reading the chances differently.

3 of 3 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this

Who had the match→

Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · LA 47' · DAL 48' of 96

LA Galaxy
FC Dallas
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: LA Galaxy doing moreBelow the line: FC Dallas doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: LA Galaxy · outlined: FC Dallas

Peak Pressure Index at 83'. LA 47' · DAL 48' of 96

Who made the match→

14 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines

Decisive
JT Marcinkowski
G · 90'
8.2
rating
90
minutes
4
saves

4 saves

Unseen work
Elijah Wynder
M · 89'
7.5
rating
89
minutes
1
shot

1 shot, 1 on target

Off the pace
Joseph Paintsil
F · 90'
6.9
rating
90
minutes
3
key passes

2 shots, 2 on target, 3 key passes

Component ratings out of ten. An average night is 6.5. Above is better than that player's own baseline, below is worse. Ratings need 300 minutes of history.

Player
Min
Att→
Cre→
Pass→
Def→
Harbor Miller
90
6.5
5.9
6.8
5.3
90 minutes
Jakob Glesnes
90
8.3
6.9
7.0
6.5
90 minutes
John Nelson
90
8.4
7.5
8.1
7.1
2 on target
Joseph Paintsil
90
6.2
7.5
5.3
6.5
3 key passes, 2 on target
JT Marcinkowski
90
–
–
5.2
7.4
4 saves
Justin Haak
90
6.9
6.0
5.2
8.2
6 tackles and interceptions
Marco Reus
90
7.4
6.5
6.1
5.0
5 key passes, 2 on target
Maya Yoshida
90
5.0
7.8
5.5
6.1
90 minutes
Elijah Wynder
89
7.9
5.5
5.3
7.5
89 minutes
Lucas Sanabria
89
5.0
7.2
6.1
5.4
89 minutes
Robert Taylor
67
–
–
–
–
67 minutes
Kyogo Furuhashi
23
–
–
–
–
23 minutes
Isaiah Parente
1
–
–
–
–
1 minutes
Troy Elgersma
1
–
–
–
–
1 minutes
FC Dallas
Player
Min
Att→
Cre→
Pass→
Def→
Bernard Kamungo
90
5.9
5.7
6.1
7.2
90 minutes
Jonathan Sirois
90
–
–
7.5
7.8
9 saves
Kaick
90
5.3
5.1
8.0
5.2
90 minutes
Nolan Norris
90
6.5
8.1
4.8
6.9
90 minutes
Osaze Urhoghide
90
7.8
6.6
6.1
7.3
4 tackles and interceptions
Petar Musa
90
6.2
5.5
7.9
5.1
3 on target, 6 shots
Shaq Moore
90
6.0
5.6
7.1
5.9
90 minutes
Christian Cappis
79
6.1
7.6
5.7
5.0
79 minutes
Herman Johansson
79
6.8
7.1
6.4
7.4
3 key passes
Logan Farrington
66
5.1
6.2
8.5
5.1
66 minutes
Patrickson Delgado
66
5.8
8.3
8.0
5.0
3 key passes
Anderson Julio
24
–
–
–
–
24 minutes
Santiago Moreno
24
5.5
7.5
8.5
6.8
24 minutes
Sebastien Ibeagha
11
–
–
–
–
11 minutes

What it changes

Season to date
−4.6
Points vs expected points
Western Conference · 20 played
13th
Conference rank
Season xG 6.3 · goals 4
−2.3
Paintsil · goals over expected

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