MLS · 11 Apr · Q2 Stadium
LA Galaxy
2–1
Austin
Recap
Sources complete · 3 of 3 models
01
Modelled xG 0.73-0.68 against a 2-1 scoreline.
02
Shots 12-13, in the box 9-9.
03
Pressure Index minutes: LA 38' · ATX 59' of 98.

What the models saw→

Goals against expected, both sides

LA Galaxy
0123 xG
SMSportmonks0.42
AFAPI-Football0.73
ASAAmerican Soccer Analysis0.97
Austin
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football0.68
ASAAmerican Soccer Analysis0.96
SMSportmonks0.63
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor

Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.

Models that reported put LA Galaxy in a 0.55 xG band. A normal week's disagreement.

3 of 3 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this

Who had the match→

Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · LA 38' · ATX 59' of 98

34' Yoshida
78' Thommy
85' Uzuni
LA Galaxy
Austin
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: LA Galaxy doing moreBelow the line: Austin doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: LA Galaxy · outlined: Austin

Peak Pressure Index at 41'. LA 38' · ATX 59' of 98

Who made the match→

16 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines

Decisive
Erik Thommy
F · 90'
8.0
rating
90
minutes
3
shots

1 goal, 3 shots, 2 on target

Unseen work
Marco Reus
F · 72'
7.2
rating
72
minutes
2
key passes

1 assist, 2 key passes

Off the pace
Mauricio Cuevas
M · 90'
6.3
rating
90
minutes
2
key passes

2 key passes

Component ratings out of ten. An average night is 6.5. Above is better than that player's own baseline, below is worse. Ratings need 300 minutes of history.

Player
Min
Att→
Cre→
Pass→
Def→
Edwin Cerrillo
90
7.7
5.3
6.7
5.8
90 minutes
Erik Thommy
90
8.4
5.3
6.5
6.4
1 goal, 2 on target
James Marcinkowski
90
–
–
5.9
6.7
4 saves
Justin Haak
90
6.1
5.4
7.1
7.4
90 minutes
Mauricio Cuevas
90
5.9
7.0
6.5
4.8
90 minutes
Maya Yoshida
90
8.5
6.0
6.1
5.4
1 goal, 2 on target
Gabriel Pec
83
5.2
6.5
8.0
7.2
3 key passes
Marco Reus
72
5.0
7.2
8.3
5.0
1 assist
Julián Aude
71
6.3
5.8
6.8
5.0
71 minutes
Lucas Sanabria
62
5.4
6.5
5.6
6.9
62 minutes
Miki Yamane
62
6.5
6.3
4.9
6.0
62 minutes
João Klauss
28
6.1
5.3
8.5
5.1
28 minutes
John Nelson
28
5.9
6.1
7.4
5.0
28 minutes
Carlos Garcés
19
6.3
8.5
7.8
6.7
1 assist
Elijah Wynder
18
6.0
6.3
5.0
6.3
18 minutes
Harbor Miller
13
–
–
–
–
13 minutes
Austin
Player
Min
Att→
Cre→
Pass→
Def→
Brad Stuver
90
–
–
8.5
6.5
5 saves
Brendan Hines-Ike
90
6.1
6.8
7.6
6.4
90 minutes
Facundo Torres
90
5.5
6.4
6.0
6.1
4 key passes
Guilherme Biro
90
6.6
5.5
6.0
5.8
90 minutes
Myrto Uzuni
90
7.5
6.8
6.2
8.1
1 goal
Oleksandr Svatok
90
7.3
7.8
7.4
8.3
90 minutes
Joseph Rosales
79
7.6
5.2
7.2
4.9
79 minutes
Christian Ramirez
78
6.6
5.0
7.5
6.5
2 on target
Jon Gallagher
61
5.8
6.8
8.3
5.8
61 minutes
Nicolas Dubersarsky
61
6.3
5.5
7.6
8.4
4 tackles and interceptions
Ilie Sánchez
30
5.4
6.3
8.2
7.0
30 minutes
Besard Sabović
60
5.8
5.2
7.5
4.6
60 minutes
Jayden Nelson
29
5.8
5.4
8.2
5.4
29 minutes
Mikkel Desler
29
8.5
5.4
7.5
5.7
29 minutes
Calvin Fodrey
12
–
–
–
–
12 minutes
Daniel Pereira
11
–
–
–
–
11 minutes

What it changes

Season to date
−4.6
Points vs expected points
Western Conference · 20 played
13th
Conference rank
Season xG 6.3 · goals 4
−2.3
Paintsil · goals over expected

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