Brasileirão · 11 Mar · Estádio do Maracanã
Flamengo
2–0
Cruzeiro
Recap
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
01
Modelled xG 1.24-0.57 against a 2-0 scoreline.
02
Shots 15-13, in the box 12-10.
03
Pressure Index minutes: FLA 43' · CRU 59' of 103.

What the models saw→

Goals against expected, both sides

Flamengo
0123 xG
SMSportmonks1.06
AFAPI-Football1.24
Cruzeiro
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football0.57
SMSportmonks0.72
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor

Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.

Models that reported put Flamengo in a 0.18 xG band. Inside the noise floor. They agree.

2 of 2 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this

Who had the match→

Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · FLA 43' · CRU 59' of 103

5' Pedro
90' Carrascal
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: Flamengo doing moreBelow the line: Cruzeiro doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: Flamengo · outlined: Cruzeiro

Peak Pressure Index at 8'. FLA 43' · CRU 59' of 103

Who made the match→

16 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines

Decisive
Lucas Paquetá
M · 74'
7.9
rating
74
minutes
3
key passes

1 shot, 3 key passes

Unseen work
Agustín Rossi
G · 90'
7.3
rating
90
minutes
4
saves

4 saves

Off the pace
Everton
M · 65'
6.5
rating
65
minutes
1
shot

1 shot

Player
Min
Lucas Paquetá
74
1 shot, 3 key passes
Pedro
89
1 goal, 2 shots, 2 on target, 1 key pass
Erick Pulgar
90
1 shot, 1 on target
Jorge Carrascal
16
1 goal, 2 shots, 1 on target
Giorgian De Arrascaeta
89
4 shots, 2 on target, 4 key passes
Emerson Royal
74
1 key pass
Agustín Rossi
90
4 saves
Jorginho
90
90 minutes
Léo Ortiz
90
1 shot, 1 on target
Wallace Yan
10
10 minutes
Léo Pereira
90
1 shot, 1 key pass
Samuel Lino
25
1 assist, 2 key passes
Guillermo Varela
16
16 minutes
Alex Sandro
90
90 minutes
Everton
65
1 shot
Luiz Araújo
10
10 minutes
Vitão
0
0 minutes
Ayrton Lucas
0
0 minutes
Nicolás de la Cruz
0
0 minutes
Evertton Araujo
0
0 minutes
Gonzalo Plata
0
0 minutes
Andrew
0
0 minutes
Danilo
0
0 minutes
Cruzeiro
Player
Min
Cássio
62
3 saves
Matheus Henrique
90
1 shot
Gerson
76
76 minutes
Fabrício Bruno
90
2 shots, 1 on target
Lucas Silva
86
1 key pass
Kaiki
90
2 key passes
Fagner
86
86 minutes
Christian
90
2 key passes
Néiser Villarreal
60
1 shot, 1 on target
Wanderson
14
14 minutes
Keny Arroyo
13
13 minutes
Matheus Cunha
28
1 save
Chico da Costa
30
1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Lucas Villalba
90
90 minutes
Matheus Pereira
90
2 shots, 1 on target, 2 key passes
Japa
13
13 minutes
Kauã Prates
0
0 minutes
João Marcelo
0
0 minutes
Kauã Moraes
0
0 minutes
Jonathan Jesus
0
0 minutes
Kaique Kenji
0
0 minutes
Murilo Rhikman
0
0 minutes
Walace
0
0 minutes

What it changes

Season to date
+5.2
Points vs expected points
Brasileirão · 21 played
2nd
League rank

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