Brasileirão · 14 Mar · Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos
Flamengo
3–0
Botafogo
Recap
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
01
Modelled xG 1.38-0.75 against a 3-0 scoreline.
02
Shots 18-7, in the box 10-3.
03
Pressure Index minutes: FLA 78' · BOT 28' of 108.
What the models saw→
Goals against expected, both sides
Flamengo
0123 xG
SMSportmonks1.61
AFAPI-Football1.38
Botafogo
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football0.75
SMSportmonks0.65
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor
Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.
Models that reported put Flamengo in a 0.23 xG band. Inside the noise floor. They agree.
2 of 2 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this
Who had the match→
Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · FLA 78' · BOT 28' of 108
13' Lino
45' Pereira
49' Pedro
Flamengo
Botafogo
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: Flamengo doing moreBelow the line: Botafogo doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: Flamengo · outlined: Botafogo
Peak Pressure Index at 96'. FLA 78' · BOT 28' of 108
Who made the match→
16 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines
Decisive
Léo PereiraD · 65'
8.3
rating
65
minutes
2
shots
1 goal, 2 shots, 2 on target
Unseen work
PedroF · 90'
7.2
rating
90
minutes
1
key pass
1 goal, 2 shots, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Off the pace
Erick PulgarM · 70'
6.6
rating
70
minutes
70 minutes
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
1 goal, 3 shots, 1 on target, 2 key passes
Botafogo
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Nahuel Ferraresi
45
45 minutes
Nahuel Ferraresi
45
45 minutes
Raúl
90
3 saves
Raúl
90
3 saves
Edenilson
9
9 minutes
Edenilson
9
9 minutes
Mateo Ponte
35
35 minutes
Mateo Ponte
35
35 minutes
Alex Telles
90
1 shot, 1 key pass
Alex Telles
90
1 shot, 1 key pass
Allan
45
45 minutes
Allan
45
45 minutes
Danilo
81
1 shot, 1 key pass
Danilo
81
1 shot, 1 key pass
Matheus Martins
45
1 shot, 1 on target
Matheus Martins
45
1 shot, 1 on target
Júnior Santos
19
19 minutes
Júnior Santos
19
19 minutes
Jordan Barrera
55
55 minutes
Jordan Barrera
55
55 minutes
Arthur Cabral
71
1 shot
Arthur Cabral
71
1 shot
Vitinho
90
1 key pass
Vitinho
90
1 key pass
Newton
45
45 minutes
Newton
45
45 minutes
Bastos
90
1 key pass
Bastos
90
1 key pass
Cristian Medina
90
1 shot
Cristian Medina
90
1 shot
Alexander Barboza
54
54 minutes
Alexander Barboza
54
54 minutes
Léo Linck
0
0 minutes
Léo Linck
0
0 minutes
Gabriel Justino
0
0 minutes
Gabriel Justino
0
0 minutes
Lucas Villalba
0
0 minutes
Lucas Villalba
0
0 minutes
Artur
0
0 minutes
Artur
0
0 minutes
Caio Valle
0
0 minutes
Caio Valle
0
0 minutes
Álvaro Montoro
0
0 minutes
Álvaro Montoro
0
0 minutes
Joaquín Correa
0
0 minutes
Joaquín Correa
0
0 minutes
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