A-League · 17 Jan · Coopers Stadium
Adelaide United
2–1
Melbourne Victory
Recap
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
01
Modelled xG 1.68-2.97 against a 2-1 scoreline.
02
Shots 15-19, in the box 13-10.
03
Pressure Index minutes: ADL 65' · MEVI 34' of 100.
What the models saw→
Goals against expected, both sides
Adelaide United
0123 xG
SMSportmonks1.33
AFAPI-Football1.68
Melbourne Victory
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football2.97
SMSportmonks2.38
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor
Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.
Models that reported put Adelaide United in a 0.35 xG band. A normal week's disagreement.
2 of 2 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this
Who had the match→
Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · ADL 65' · MEVI 34' of 100
6' Goodwin
75' Grimaldi
90' Kitto
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: Adelaide United doing moreBelow the line: Melbourne Victory doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: Adelaide United · outlined: Melbourne Victory
Peak Pressure Index at 71'. ADL 65' · MEVI 34' of 100
Who made the match→
15 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines
Decisive
Craig GoodwinM · 90'
7.9
rating
90
minutes
2
key passes
1 goal, 2 shots, 1 on target, 2 key passes
Unseen work
Ryan WhiteM · 90'
6.9
rating
90
minutes
1
shot
1 shot
Off the pace
Joshua SmitsG · 90'
5.6
rating
90
minutes
3
saves
2 key passes, 3 saves
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
1 goal, 2 shots, 1 on target, 2 key passes
1 goal, 2 shots, 1 on target, 1 key pass
1 assist, 1 shot, 1 on target, 5 key passes
Panashe Madanha
8
8 minutes
Panashe Madanha
8
8 minutes
Melbourne Victory
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Sebastian Esposito
90
1 shot
Sebastian Esposito
90
1 shot
Matthew Grimaldi
23
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target
Matthew Grimaldi
23
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target
Louis D'Arrigo
90
2 shots, 1 key pass
Louis D'Arrigo
90
2 shots, 1 key pass
Juan Mata
89
3 key passes
Juan Mata
89
3 key passes
Keegan Jelacic
23
1 key pass
Keegan Jelacic
23
1 key pass
Nikos Vergos
67
3 shots
Nikos Vergos
67
3 shots
Lachlan Jackson
90
1 shot, 1 on target
Lachlan Jackson
90
1 shot, 1 on target
Jing Lual
23
1 shot, 1 on target, 2 key passes
Jing Lual
23
1 shot, 1 on target, 2 key passes
Denis Genreau
78
2 shots, 2 key passes
Denis Genreau
78
2 shots, 2 key passes
Joshua Inserra
90
90 minutes
Joshua Inserra
90
90 minutes
Jack Warshawsky
90
2 saves
Jack Warshawsky
90
2 saves
Reno Piscopo
12
1 shot
Reno Piscopo
12
1 shot
Clarismario
67
1 key pass
Clarismario
67
1 key pass
Nishan Velupillay
67
3 shots, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Nishan Velupillay
67
3 shots, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Xavier Stella
8
8 minutes
Xavier Stella
8
8 minutes
Adama Traoré
90
90 minutes
Adama Traoré
90
90 minutes
Kayne Razmovski
0
0 minutes
Kayne Razmovski
0
0 minutes
Daniel Graskoski
0
0 minutes
Daniel Graskoski
0
0 minutes
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