A-League · 27 Feb · AAMI Park
Adelaide United
1–1
Melbourne Victory
Recap
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
01
Modelled xG 1.58-2.15 against a 1-1 scoreline.
02
Shots 12-19, in the box 6-12.
03
Pressure Index minutes: ADL 26' · MEVI 70' of 96.
What the models saw→
Goals against expected, both sides
Adelaide United
0123 xG
SMSportmonks1.32
AFAPI-Football1.58
Melbourne Victory
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football2.15
SMSportmonks1.75
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor
Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.
Models that reported put Adelaide United in a 0.26 xG band. Inside the noise floor. They agree.
2 of 2 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this
Who had the match→
Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · ADL 26' · MEVI 70' of 96
26' Jelacic
35' Dukuly
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: Adelaide United doing moreBelow the line: Melbourne Victory doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: Adelaide United · outlined: Melbourne Victory
Peak Pressure Index at 45'. ADL 26' · MEVI 70' of 96
Who made the match→
15 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines
Decisive
Juan MuñizM · 71'
7.5
rating
71
minutes
1
key pass
1 shot, 1 key pass
Unseen work
Joshua SmitsG · 90'
7.2
rating
90
minutes
6
saves
6 saves
Off the pace
Jonny YullM · 85'
6.3
rating
85
minutes
1
shot
1 shot, 1 on target
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Luka Jovanovic
77
2 shots, 1 on target
Luka Jovanovic
77
2 shots, 1 on target
Yaya Dukuly
86
1 goal, 2 shots, 1 on target
Yaya Dukuly
86
1 goal, 2 shots, 1 on target
Panashe Madanha
9
9 minutes
Panashe Madanha
9
9 minutes
Melbourne Victory
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Keegan Jelacic
66
1 goal, 4 shots, 1 on target
Keegan Jelacic
66
1 goal, 4 shots, 1 on target
Jack Warshawsky
90
5 saves
Jack Warshawsky
90
5 saves
Joshua Rawlins
90
3 key passes
Joshua Rawlins
90
3 key passes
Roderick Miranda
90
90 minutes
Roderick Miranda
90
90 minutes
Juan Mata
66
1 assist, 1 shot, 1 on target, 6 key passes
Juan Mata
66
1 assist, 1 shot, 1 on target, 6 key passes
Sebastian Esposito
90
90 minutes
Sebastian Esposito
90
90 minutes
Xavier Stella
35
1 key pass
Xavier Stella
35
1 key pass
Matthew Grimaldi
24
1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Matthew Grimaldi
24
1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Jordi Valadon
90
1 key pass
Jordi Valadon
90
1 key pass
Reno Piscopo
11
1 shot, 1 key pass
Reno Piscopo
11
1 shot, 1 key pass
Clarismario
24
24 minutes
Clarismario
24
24 minutes
Denis Genreau
55
1 shot, 1 key pass
Denis Genreau
55
1 shot, 1 key pass
Charles Nduka
66
2 shots, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Charles Nduka
66
2 shots, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Nishan Velupillay
79
1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Nishan Velupillay
79
1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Jason Davidson
90
90 minutes
Jason Davidson
90
90 minutes
Nikos Vergos
24
3 shots, 2 on target
Nikos Vergos
24
3 shots, 2 on target
Jack Duncan
0
0 minutes
Jack Duncan
0
0 minutes
Joshua Inserra
0
0 minutes
Joshua Inserra
0
0 minutes
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