A-League · 14 Mar · Central Coast Stadium
Adelaide United
1–1
Central Coast Mariners
Recap
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
01
Modelled xG 3.36-0.64 against a 1-1 scoreline.
02
Shots 24-6, in the box 17-2.
03
Pressure Index minutes: ADL 72' · CEN 22' of 95.
What the models saw→
Goals against expected, both sides
Adelaide United
0123 xG
SMSportmonks2.21
AFAPI-Football3.36
Central Coast Mariners
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football0.64
SMSportmonks1.01
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor
Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.
Models that reported put Adelaide United in a 1.15 xG band. A wide spread. The models are reading the chances differently.
2 of 2 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this
Who had the match→
Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · ADL 72' · CEN 22' of 95
59' Ngor
88' Alagich
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: Adelaide United doing moreBelow the line: Central Coast Mariners doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: Adelaide United · outlined: Central Coast Mariners
Peak Pressure Index at 35'. ADL 72' · CEN 22' of 95
Who made the match→
16 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines
Decisive
Ethan AlagichM · 90'
7.9
rating
90
minutes
1
key pass
1 goal, 3 shots, 2 on target, 1 key pass
Unseen work
Bart VriendsD · 90'
7.2
rating
90
minutes
1
shot
1 shot
Off the pace
Joshua SmitsG · 90'
5.9
rating
90
minutes
1
save
1 save
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
1 goal, 3 shots, 2 on target, 1 key pass
Austin Ayoubi
11
11 minutes
Austin Ayoubi
11
11 minutes
Yaya Dukuly
68
1 shot, 1 on target, 2 key passes
Yaya Dukuly
68
1 shot, 1 on target, 2 key passes
Luka Jovanovic
68
2 key passes
Luka Jovanovic
68
2 key passes
1 assist, 1 shot, 1 on target, 2 key passes
Central Coast Mariners
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Andrew Redmayne
90
8 saves
Andrew Redmayne
90
8 saves
Sabit James Ngor
33
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Sabit James Ngor
33
1 goal, 1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
James Donachie
90
90 minutes
James Donachie
90
90 minutes
Haine Eames
89
89 minutes
Haine Eames
89
89 minutes
Lucas Mauragis
90
90 minutes
Lucas Mauragis
90
90 minutes
Chris Donnell
90
90 minutes
Chris Donnell
90
90 minutes
Brad Tapp
90
90 minutes
Brad Tapp
90
90 minutes
Ali Auglah
83
2 shots, 1 on target
Ali Auglah
83
2 shots, 1 on target
Kaito Taniguchi
57
1 shot
Kaito Taniguchi
57
1 shot
Alfie McCalmont
90
1 shot
Alfie McCalmont
90
1 shot
Nathaniel Blair
34
1 key pass
Nathaniel Blair
34
1 key pass
Bailey Brandtman
13
13 minutes
Bailey Brandtman
13
13 minutes
Storm Roux
89
1 key pass
Storm Roux
89
1 key pass
Oliver Lavale
56
1 key pass
Oliver Lavale
56
1 key pass
Diesel Herrington
0
0 minutes
Diesel Herrington
0
0 minutes
Harrison Steele
1
1 minutes
Harrison Steele
1
1 minutes
Jacob Nasso
1
1 minutes
Jacob Nasso
1
1 minutes
Dylan Peraić-Cullen
0
0 minutes
Dylan Peraić-Cullen
0
0 minutes
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