A-League · 24 Jan · Suncorp Stadium
Adelaide United
3–2
Brisbane Roar
Recap
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
Sources complete · 2 of 2 models
01
Modelled xG 0.71-1.71 against a 3-2 scoreline.
02
Shots 8-25, in the box 6-10.
03
Pressure Index minutes: ADL 7' · BRI 35' of 43.
What the models saw→
Goals against expected, both sides
Adelaide United
0123 xG
SMSportmonks1.23
AFAPI-Football0.71
Brisbane Roar
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football1.71
SMSportmonks1.58
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor
Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.
Models that reported put Adelaide United in a 0.52 xG band. A normal week's disagreement.
2 of 2 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this
Who had the match→
Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · ADL 7' · BRI 35' of 43
41' Klein
56' Burkitt
60' Long
70' Burkitt
90' Burkitt
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: Adelaide United doing moreBelow the line: Brisbane Roar doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: Adelaide United · outlined: Brisbane Roar
Peak Pressure Index at 20'. ADL 7' · BRI 35' of 43
Who made the match→
16 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines
Decisive
Brody BurkittF · 45'
10.0
rating
45
minutes
1
key pass
3 goals, 3 shots, 3 on target, 1 key pass
Unseen work
Luka Jovanovic
F · 45'
6.9
rating
45
minutes
45 minutes
Off the pace
Ajak RiakF · 45'
6.2
rating
45
minutes
1
shot
1 shot, 1 on target
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
3 goals, 3 shots, 3 on target, 1 key pass
Luka Jovanovic
45
45 minutes
Luka Jovanovic
45
45 minutes
Yaya Dukuly
28
1 assist, 2 key passes
Yaya Dukuly
28
1 assist, 2 key passes
Panashe Madanha
23
23 minutes
Panashe Madanha
23
23 minutes
Vinko Stanisic
0
0 minutes
Vinko Stanisic
0
0 minutes
Brisbane Roar
Player
Min
Signal
Player
Min
Samuel Klein
90
1 goal, 7 shots, 4 on target, 4 key passes
Samuel Klein
90
1 goal, 7 shots, 4 on target, 4 key passes
Christopher Long
77
1 goal, 5 shots, 2 on target, 1 key pass
Christopher Long
77
1 goal, 5 shots, 2 on target, 1 key pass
Jay O'Shea
82
1 shot, 5 key passes
Jay O'Shea
82
1 shot, 5 key passes
Youstin Salas
90
1 key pass
Youstin Salas
90
1 key pass
Georgios Vrakas
77
1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Georgios Vrakas
77
1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Dean Bouzanis
90
1 save
Dean Bouzanis
90
1 save
Noah Maieroni
90
1 assist, 1 shot, 3 key passes
Noah Maieroni
90
1 assist, 1 shot, 3 key passes
Nicholas D'Agostino
13
13 minutes
Nicholas D'Agostino
13
13 minutes
Matt Dench
13
1 shot
Matt Dench
13
1 shot
Dimitrios Valkanis
90
1 shot, 1 key pass
Dimitrios Valkanis
90
1 shot, 1 key pass
Emmet Shaw
8
8 minutes
Emmet Shaw
8
8 minutes
James McGarry
90
1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
James McGarry
90
1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Michael Ruhs
65
1 assist, 1 shot, 1 key pass
Michael Ruhs
65
1 assist, 1 shot, 1 key pass
Justin Vidic
25
1 shot
Justin Vidic
25
1 shot
Austin Ludwik
90
1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Austin Ludwik
90
1 shot, 1 on target, 1 key pass
Macklin Freke
0
0 minutes
Macklin Freke
0
0 minutes
Henry Hore
0
0 minutes
Henry Hore
0
0 minutes
Jordan Lauton
0
0 minutes
Jordan Lauton
0
0 minutes
Got a take on that one?
I check it against the numbers and show the working.
ConvictionConfident
Coming soon
The take tester is being rebuilt.